The only way to PROVE "100 year lifespan" claims, is to look at them 100 years later - artificial "accelerated" test can give a guess.
For PRESSED CDs, free of the problematic defects which afflicted some, and kept in ideal conditions, the life claims should be met.
Unrecorded blanks definitely have a shelf life, and for recorded media, lifespan is certainly reduced by low quality media, poor writing, and poor treatment - for important data, you should have (at least) two different backups on two different types of media (that are NOT same-source rebrands), and verify them at intervals.


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